Farmer’s Almanac Released its 2023-24 Winter Outlook and it Brings Good News for Northern California

Active NorCal Follow on Twitter August 8, 2023
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The historic winter of 2022-23 buried Highway 80 near Tahoe

The much-anticipated winter forecast for 2023/2024 has just been released by the Farmers’ Almanac, a tradition since 1818 that aids in planning ahead for the different communities in the United States. So how does it look for Northern California?

The 2023-23 winter brought historic precipitation to California, refilling waterways stricken with drought for the past decade. If the region saw another year like this, it could relieve many water issues throughout the state – but would it be too much?

The buzz around this year’s Farmer’s Almanac prediction centers around the upcoming El Niño, characterized by elevated water temperatures along the Pacific Coast of South America. This phenomenon is projected to take shape in the latter part of 2023, stretching into the winter of 2024. Integrating this with Farmer’s Alamanac’s forecasting formula, they have predicted that cold temperatures are on the horizon, likely accompanied by snow, sleet, and ice for much of America.

For NorCal, we should expect this winter to have “Wintry Temps & Seasonably Stormy.” Here is the full prediction:

The forecast predicts that an El Niño pattern could be on its way, which some experts give a 60% chance of it occurring later this year, possibly as early as this summer. This development would make it more likely for the East Pacific to experience hurricanes, generally tracking to the south, and wetter winters in California.

After an unusually wet and snowy winter in California despite the presence of El Nino, the continuation of this trend in the form of a second wet winter could prove pivotal in replenishing water resources in drought-prone regions of the West. The unfolding meteorological narrative holds great significance for the weather outlook in Northern California.

Active NorCal Follow on Twitter August 8, 2023
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  4. Last year, the Almanac said we’d have a drier than normal winter, so not going to put a ton of stock into this. What I do recall as well, though, is that our new normal seems to be a very wet year followed by 3-4 abnormally dry years… we’re in a boom-and-bust cycle.
    In my 52 years in NorCal (my whole life), I believe I have spent more years in drought conditions than not.

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